What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 28th, 2024

This week saw relatively light activity, primarily focused on discussions with the Federal Reserve Board. The only truly notable report released was the Consumer Sentiment Report, which happily reported that sentiment had risen for the month of October. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s latest Beige Book survey noted a slight decline in manufacturing activity. Consumer Sentiment (Final) Confidence among Republicans in a potential Donald Trump victory helped drive consumer sentiment to a six-month high less than two weeks before the U.S. presidential election. The University of Michigan reported on Friday that the initial October reading of consumer sentiment rose to 70.5,…
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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 21st, 2024

The release of last week's inflation data has left this week with very few significant data updates. The most important information will come from various Federal Reserve members speaking on different topics. They have consistently emphasized that they will closely monitor the data to decide whether further rate cuts are needed in their upcoming rate decision meeting. Much of the market is optimistic that rate cuts will continue. Additionally, several smaller retail sales data releases are expected soon, which will provide insight into the current strength of the economy. Retail Sales Retail sales increased 0.4% in September, with strength in…
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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 14th, 2024

The CPI and PPI reports delivered their data, showing inflation figures slightly below expectations. However, the positive impact of these reports was tempered by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve members during recent meetings. Despite this, the overall outlook remains optimistic, as further rate cuts are anticipated. Lending partners have also responded positively, significantly lowering their lending rates over the past month. Consumer Credit Consumer credit increased by $8.9 billion in August, following a revised $26.6 billion surge in July, the Federal Reserve reported on Monday. This represents a 2.1% annual growth rate in August, a slowdown from the 6.3% rise…
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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 7th, 2024

Last week was a fairly light week, with the non-farm payroll data being the most significant release. The data showed that payrolls are growing at a faster rate than historical trends suggest, which could indicate that inflation is still above the Federal Reserve's target. In contrast, the upcoming week has a busy schedule, with many important economic releases lined up back to back. Non-Farm Payrolls Hourly pay for American workers rose a sharp 0.4% in September - above expectations - to put the increase over the past 12 months at 4.0%. That's up from 3.9% in the prior month. Wages…
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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 30th, 2024

With the release of the PCE Index data, we are seeing the trend hold as inflation continues to slow down. This gives the Federal Reserve room to continue its rate cuts in the future. Following the positive news for inflation data, the GDP has also seen a larger-than-expected growth of 3% this quarter. The only data running against the tide is the Consumer Confidence reports, which reported to show that consumers are at their most anxious since 2021. We should expect a greater impact on the lending and broader markets ahead of the elections. PCE Index The Federal Reserve’s preferred…
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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 23rd, 2024

The long-awaited week has come and within expectations, the Federal Reserve has decided to reduce interest rates for central banks by 50 basis points. This is the bigger of the two options for a rate cut, with the lesser being 25 basis points. The impact of this cannot be understated as this gives an official nod that the economy is in a good spot and inflation is under control, according to the Federal Reserve’s outlook on the data. The only black mark on the week of releases is the U.S. Leading Economic Indicators showing the economy has been in a…
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